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Lighting : Whos Who of Lighting 2009
Contents
Front Cover
fe A T ure LEaDing By Haidi Bernhardt Light emitting Diode (LeD) technology has come a long way from simple indicator lights to illuminating some of the biggest events in the world such as the Beijing olympics. Within the industry LEDs have long been considered the obvious heirs to the lighting throne, and while the crown has yet to be officially passed, LED technology and payback costs on fixtures has improved dramatically. It is difficult to ascertain the actual value of the LED market especially given the spectrum of products coming into Australia and flooding markets worldwide. Furthermore, determining the proportion of market share being taken by LED products from traditional light sources, in more architectural and functional applications, usually High Brightness (HB) LEDs, is even more difficult. Here, some LED industry players offer their views on the growth prospects for these products. Out with the old Indication of how seriously LED technology is being taken is evidenced on a global scale. Just last year Kaj den Daas, chairman and chief executive of Philips Lighting North America, seemed to bury the future of compact fluorescent lighting (CFL) when he reportedly announced, “We are not spending one dollar on research and development for compact fluorescents.” Instead, Philips is siphoning the bulk of its research and development budget (a full 5.2 per cent of global lighting revenue) into LEDs. Phil Compson, Philips’ manager of luminaires and Solid State Lighting (SSL) in Australia, told Lighting Art & Science Magazine, “…with the performance of LEDs improving and up-front costs decreasing Philips is quickly expanding its portfolio in white light solutions to address general lighting solutions that will replace conventional light sources such as incandescent and halogen.” We are currently seeing the first LED fixtures replacing Compact Fluorescent Lamps (CFLs) in down light and streetlight applications, although the price points are still relatively high. The majority of the LED fixtures that Philips is introducing worldwide are based on High Brightness (HB) LEDs. Compson said, “Certainly in the next 10 years Solid State Lighting will take over many of the current applications where halogen, fluorescent and low wattage HID are applied. “Luminaire manufacturers now need to consider much of the theories that have previously only been applied in the electronics industry. Managing thermal issues and maximising the output of High Brightness LED’s will also need different expertise.” He concluded that the lighting industry also needs to consider 48 LIGHTING MAGAZINE | APRIL 2009 that companies with this experience will also begin looking for opportunities within the lighting industry. According to Lighting Science Group (LSGC) in the USA, innovator and maker of LED lighting solutions, the total lighting market worldwide for HB LEDs will grow to US$879 million by 2010 (Strategies Unlimited estimate). The estimated value of the LED-based fixture market is US$3.5 billion, said the group’s chief business development officer Zach Gibler. “However, I consider these estimates the way Zach Gibler – lighting science Group (lsGC) based in the usA of future market growth rather conservative. Given the rapid advancement in LED technology, together with the economic forces at play right now, long-term operational savings are critical, making a business case for LED adoption.” Gibler said that there had not been significant market penetration in the indoor and outdoor white lighting markets; such as recessed down lights, task lighting, retail display, office/ under shelf lighting, street and area lights. “However, the market adoption rate will accelerate at an average compounded annual gross rate of 55-65 per cent over the next few years in these applications.” In a recent report, Strategies Unlimited, suggested that 5 per cent of the overall HB LED market was represented by lighting applications (that could be considered as part of the general illumination market). “The largest application was architectural lighting, where the ability of LEDs to provide colors and colorchanging effects was a major market driver”, said the report. In spite of its small share of the overall HB LED market, lighting was one of the fastest growing segments in 2007, and the market is forecast to grow to more than US$1.5 billion by 2012. South Korean electronics giant Samsung Electronics believes the global overall LED market is set to grow approximately 20 per cent annually over the next five years from US$5.2 million to almost US$13 billion and to benefit from this growth is reportedly setting up a joint venture with affiliate Samsung ElectroMechanics to produce LEDs. Lighting_April_2009.indd 48 8/4/09 5:01:45 PM
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